{"id":329,"date":"2022-01-17T01:23:36","date_gmt":"2022-01-17T01:23:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/?p=329"},"modified":"2022-01-17T01:23:42","modified_gmt":"2022-01-17T01:23:42","slug":"quotable-warming-hiatus-quotes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/?p=329","title":{"rendered":"Quotable Warming Hiatus Quotes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>From our old blog (9\/7\/2014) that was tragically hidden from view by the Gods of Google.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"750\" height=\"408\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/No-upward-Trend.jpg?resize=750%2C408&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-330\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/No-upward-Trend.jpg?w=805&amp;ssl=1 805w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/No-upward-Trend.jpg?resize=300%2C163&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/No-upward-Trend.jpg?resize=768%2C418&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Phil Jones \u2013 CRU emails \u2013 5th July,\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2005<\/em><\/strong><em>:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c<\/em><strong><em>The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998<\/em><\/strong><em>. OK it has but it is only 7 years of data and it isn\u2019t statistically significant\u2026.\u201dDr. Phil Jones \u2013 CRU emails \u2013 7th May,\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2009<\/em><\/strong><em>\u2018Bottom line: the \u2018<\/em><strong><em>no upward trend<\/em><\/strong><em>\u2019 has to continue for a total of\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>15 years before we get worried<\/em><\/strong><em>.\u2019__________________<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><em>Dr. Judith L. Lean \u2013 Geophysical Research Letters \u2013 15 Aug\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2009<\/em><\/strong><em>\u201c\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>This lack of overall warming<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0is analogous to the period from 2002 to 2008 when decreasing solar irradiance also countered much of the anthropogenic warming\u2026\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><em>Dr. Kevin Trenberth \u2013 CRU emails \u2013 12 Oct.\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2009<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cWell, I have my own article on\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>where the heck is global warming<\/em><\/strong><em>\u2026..The fact is that\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>we can\u2019t account for the lack of warming<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0at the moment and it is a travesty that we can\u2019t.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Mojib Latif \u2013 Spiegel \u2013 19th November\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2009<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cAt present, however, the\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>warming is taking a break<\/em><\/strong><em>,\u201d\u2026\u2026.\u201dThere can be no argument about that,\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>.Jochem Marotzke \u2013 Spiegel \u2013 19th November\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2009<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cIt cannot be denied that this is one of the hottest issues in the scientific community,\u201d\u2026.\u201d<\/em><strong><em>We don\u2019t really know why this stagnation is taking place<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0at this point.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Phil Jones \u2013 BBC \u2013 13th February\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2010<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br>\u201cI\u2019m a scientist trying to measure temperature. If I registered that the climate has been\u00a0cooling\u00a0I\u2019d say so. But it hasn\u2019t until recently<em>\u00a0\u2013 and then barely at all. The trend is a warming trend.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Phil Jones \u2013 BBC \u2013 13th February\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2010<\/em><\/strong><em>[Q] B \u2013 <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c<\/em><strong><em>Do you agree that from 1995<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0to the present there has been\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>no statistically-significant global warming<\/em><\/strong><em>\u201d[A] \u201c<\/em><strong><em>Yes<\/em><\/strong><em>, but only just\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Prof. Shaowu Wang et al \u2013 Advances in Climate Change Research \u2013<\/em><strong><em>2010<\/em><\/strong><em>\u201c\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The decade of 1999-2008 is still the warmest of the last 30 years, though the\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>global temperature increment is near zero<\/em><\/strong><em>;\u2026\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. B. G. Hunt \u2013 Climate Dynamics \u2013 February\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2011<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cControversy continues to prevail concerning the reality of anthropogenically-induced climatic warming. One of the principal issues is the\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>cause of the hiatus<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0in the current global warming trend.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Robert K. Kaufmann \u2013 PNAS \u2013 2nd June\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2011<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c\u2026..it has been unclear why\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>global surface temperatures did not rise<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0between 1998 and 2008\u2026..\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Gerald A. Meehl \u2013 Nature Climate Change \u2013 18th September<\/em><strong><em>2011<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cThere have been decades, such as 2000\u20132009, when the observed globally averaged surface-temperature time series shows little increase or even a slightly negative trend1 (a\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>hiatus<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0period)\u2026.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Met Office Blog \u2013 Dave Britton (10:48:21) \u2013 14 October\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2012<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cWe agree with Mr Rose that there has been only a\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>very small amount of warming<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0in the 21st Century. As stated in our response, this is\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>0.05 degrees Celsius since 1997<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0equivalent to 0.03 degrees Celsius per decade. \u201dSource:\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/metofficenews.wordpress.com\/2012\/10\/14\/met-office-in-the-media-14-october-2012\"><em>metofficenews.wordpress.com\/2012\/10\/14\/met-office-in-the-media-14-october-2012<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. James Hansen \u2013 NASA GISS \u2013 15 January\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cThe 5-year mean\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>global temperature has been flat for a decade<\/em><\/strong><em>, which we interpret as a combination of natural variability and a slowdown in the growth rate of the net climate forcing.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr Doug Smith \u2013 Met Office \u2013 18 January\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cThe exact\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>causes of the temperature standstill are not yet understood<\/em><\/strong><em>,\u201d says climate researcher Doug Smith from the Met Office.[Translated by Philipp Mueller from Spiegel Online]<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Virginie Guemas \u2013 Nature Climate Change \u2013 7 April\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c\u2026Despite a sustained production of anthropogenic greenhouse gases, the\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>Earth\u2019s mean near-surface temperature paused\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><em>its rise during the 2000\u20132010 period\u2026\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Judith Curry \u2013 House of Representatives Subcommittee on Environment \u2013 25 April\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201d If the climate shifts hypothesis is correct, then\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>the current flat trend in global surface temperatures<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0may continue for another decade or two,\u2026\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Hans von Storch \u2013 Spiegel \u2013 20 June\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c\u2026<\/em><strong><em>the increase over the last 15 years<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0was just 0.06 degrees Celsius (0.11 degrees Fahrenheit) \u2014 a value\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>very close to zero<\/em><\/strong><em>\u2026.If things continue as they have been, in five years, at the latest, we will need to acknowledge that something is fundamentally wrong with our climate models\u2026.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Professor Masahiro Watanabe \u2013 Geophysical Research Letters \u2013 28 June\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cThe weakening of k commonly found in GCMs seems to be an inevitable response of the climate system to global warming, suggesting the recovery from\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>hiatus<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0in coming decades.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Met Office \u2013 July\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c<\/em><strong><em>The recent pause in global warming<\/em><\/strong><em>, part 3: What are the implications for projections of future warming?\u2026\u2026\u2026..Executive summary <\/em><strong><em>The recent pause in global surface temperature rise<\/em><\/strong><em>\u00a0does not materially alter the risks of substantial warming of the Earth by the end of this century. \u201dSource:\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/metoffice.gov.uk\/media\/pdf\/3\/r\/Paper3_Implications_for_projections.pdf\"><em>metoffice.gov.uk\/media\/pdf\/3\/r\/Paper3_Implications_for_projections.pdf<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Professor Rowan Sutton \u2013 Independent \u2013 22 July\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cSome people call it a slow-down, some call it a hiatus, some people call it a pause. The\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>global average surface temperature has not increased substantially over the last 10 to 15 years<\/em><\/strong><em>,\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Kevin Trenberth \u2013 NPR \u2013 23 August\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201c<\/em><strong><em>They probably can\u2019t go on much for much longer than maybe 20 years, and what happens at the end of these hiatus periods<\/em><\/strong><em>, is suddenly there\u2019s a big jump [in temperature] up to a whole new level and you never go back to that previous level again,\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Yu Kosaka et. al. \u2013 Nature \u2013 28 August\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cRecent global-warming hiatus\u00a0tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling despite<em> the continued increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, the annual-mean global temperature has not risen in the twenty-first century\u2026\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Professor Anastasios Tsonis \u2013 Daily Telegraph \u2013 8 September\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2013<\/em><\/strong><em>\\<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cWe are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped<\/em><\/strong><em>.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Kevin E. Trenberth \u2013 Nature News Feature \u2013 15 January\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2014<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cThe\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>1997 to \u201998 El Ni\u00f1o event\u00a0was a trigger for the changes in the Pacific, and I think that\u2019s\u00a0very probably the beginning of the hiatus<\/em><\/strong><em>,\u201d says Kevin Trenberth, a climate scientist\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Dr. Gabriel Vecchi \u2013 Nature News Feature \u2013 15 January\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2014<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cA few years ago you saw the\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>hiatus, but it could be dismissed because it was well within the noise,\u201d says Gabriel Vecchi, a climate scientist\u2026\u201cNow\u00a0it\u2019s something to explain<\/em><\/strong><em>.\u201d\u2026..<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Professor Matthew England \u2013 ABC Science \u2013 10 February\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>2014<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cEven though\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>there is this hiatus in this surface average temperature<\/em><\/strong><em>, we\u2019re still getting record heat waves, we\u2019re still getting harsh bush fires\u2026..it shows we shouldn\u2019t take any comfort from this\u00a0<\/em><strong><em>plateau in global average temperatures<\/em><\/strong><em>.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From our old blog (9\/7\/2014) that was tragically hidden from view by the Gods of Google. Dr. Phil Jones \u2013 CRU emails \u2013 5th July,\u00a02005: \u201cThe scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only 7 years&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/?p=329\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Quotable Warming Hiatus Quotes<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[291,120,109,79,97,292,150],"class_list":["post-329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-cru","tag-global-warming","tag-james-hansen","tag-judith-curry","tag-kevin-trenberth","tag-met-office","tag-phil-jones","entry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=329"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":331,"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329\/revisions\/331"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=329"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=329"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/australianclimatesceptics.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=329"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}